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Are high-dividend stocks better? |
I attended several Finance classes as an elective in college but it was not my major and that was almost two decades ago. I recall being introduced to Miller & Modigliani's theory that dividend policy doesn't matter, because if a company keeps the money and reinvests it in its own operations instead of paying dividends to investors, this would translate into higher firm value and stock price, i.e. capital gains to the investors. But if this were true, why do investors still prefer high-dividend stocks? If a company that has a high growth rate (and assuming high stock price appreciation) pays out dividends, isn't it less likely that investors will be able to find alternative investments that provide a comparable return? What's the latest thinking on this issue? You ask a good question. I'll try to answer the questions in order. If the company cannot earn more with the money internally than the investor could with the money it should be paid in dividends. Taxes distort the comparison. Dividends are rarely the reason enough for investing in a stcok. remember the dividend is always declared on the face value of the stock and not on the market value. A Rs.100 SDhare of reliance is today nearly rs.2000/- Even if reliance declares 100% dividend, it will be only Rs.100/- which will be hardly 5 % of the market value at which you have bought the share. Dividends are obviously an income for stockholders, Boy, does that bring back memories! I majored in Corp. Finance back in Grad School and that was required reading. However, the key word is "tend" to not matter, because savvy investors will always go with the firm that reinvests all its profits for growth. This tendency is still somewhat true, but only for "savvy" investors, one of the flaws in the model. The other 2 flaws are that all investors are intelligent (they are not) and that they are all high risk takers, they are not. The low to moderate risk takers want a constant flow of returned capital to reduce their risk exposure, hence they seek the dividend and are willing to compromise the yield element on the cap gain side. Nothing wrong with this, its called value investing and is a conservative form of investing. On the other hand, the dumb people who seek out companies and follow the credo of the model usually pick undercapitalized stocks, which must supplant their earnings with debt and whose business model leaves something to be desired and sales and earnings growth are elusive? Simply stated: All investing has " risk" involved...when you are collecting dividends, it's like being paid to take that risk...( or just " reducing" the risk). |
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