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Can I hedge against falling interest rates in the US dollar by holding a forex position? |
My CDs rates are falling because the Fed is depressing rates. That's also sending the dollar down. Since our economy is slowing the Fed will probably drop rates more. I'm thinking that if I pick a country paying higher rates I should offset a lot of my loss in interest income. I probably won't put a lot of money there, but at 100:1 rates forex accounts have a lot of leverage. As the value of the USD goes down the EUR/USD and GBP/USD go up. Many people consider these good plays against a falling dollar. Good plan. Learned a lot reading this answer. Spot forex is same thing as having to keep up all the time. Report It FX is tricky business, even for the experts. It requires day to day monitoring, and you will probably get killed by the transaction fees. From my understanding, if you're not constantly exchanging, you will indeed be crushed by the combination of hidden and overt fees. Stick to what you can learn easily. FX is not for the slow mind or the busy individual. Forex trading is an all-consuming obsession. It is not something a single investor can buy and hold. With leverage, the returns can be huge, but - more times than not - the losses are 100%. Many successful traders have blown up account after account before they learn to manage the phsycology of trading (if they do). |
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