"latin american fund A" any predictions?

I have currently 拢7,000 invested in latin american fund A which over the course of 6 months has become 拢8,219 do i leave now and take the profit or wait some extra time? i hear the the next few months will be quite bumpy.... ?? any advice?

Hello Frank,,,
Not Advice ,,only an opinion.

Almost any Lat-Am Fund you look at will display
Long-ish Term HISTORICAL Strength and even some accelerated Upward Momentum From about This time of year,,,until year end.

That Suggests to Wait a while longer.

Here is what I'm basing that observation upon.
Look at end-of-year action.

http://www.morningstar.co.uk/UK/snapshot...

(USA Traded ETF funds)
NYSE: ILF,,,LAQ,,,,EWZ
http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=EWZ%20IL...

Just a random sampling that reflect "Typical" Fund Composition

You can see that they have HISTORICALLY run rather Solidly until at least Late November,Early December.

In Recent Years,,,a Small Sell-Off Dip can be seen Just Before Year End.
But it has been Small,Brief,,,and met with Solid Buying Action to continue & support a Longer Term Uptrend.

Over LONG Term,,,,it appears to clearly be a HOLD
In IMMEDIATE Term,,,,it seems a HOLD as well

Bumpy or Not,,,I beleive it has More Upside thru next 6 to 8 weeks.

One Strategy:
ANTICIPATE the eventual Correction in Price.
Watch and LOOK for that Year End Dip.
Hold on for some TIME,,,then as year end approaches Prepare to SELL.

DONT Fall for a Head-Fake Dip THIS WEEK.
Bide your time,,a BIT.
Then towards year-end You can begin to Assume that Any Dip is THE DIP,,,and Sell along with it


If Your Timing is NOT PERFECT,,,and It Wont be,,,,
You'll be much,much Closer to "perfect timing".

Because Latin America has such a strong outlook/forecast,,,,
You'll want to Buy it Back when it settles down after it's temporary correction.

WHEN to do so is more useful,and less stressful,,than trying to Guess Price Point.
a)It will NOT stay Down long
b)So,,anytime AFTER a substantial Dip followed by a few days of selling,,,,and Small "Reluctant-appearing" BUYING
is a reasonable indication that the Expected Year-End Dip
has happened.

Simply put,,,
Anticipate the Year End Historical pattern to Reccur.
You Can't Perfectly Time your EXIT,nor Your Re-entry Perfectly.
Perhaps not even Accurately.
But you absolutely CAN do it CORRECTLY.

Sell HIGH>>Re-Buy LOW almost Anywhere Straddling that Year End Dip.

Me personally would Not wait for Clear & Solid Uptrend Confirmation.

I doubt You can get Hurt at all.
Worst Case is that You'll MISS a little of the Full Total Move,,,Which is NORMAL,,,
or that You'd have to wait a bit longer After the Buying-The-Dip a bit too early

You can also Monitor a variety of similar/comparable Stocks/Funds to get a better clue on Timing.

Latin America is STRONG,,,you really don't have to work too hard at it in order to get satisfactory results.


All just my opinion

Good Luck

no