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Investment Stats Question- I need some serious brainpower? |
If we assume the SP 500 Index have x volatility, conceivably the SP 100 should always have higher volatility, (I'm assuming the effect of the correlations and weights among the assets would be similar in both indexes, but I realize they are not the same)--- Shouldn't it be possible to create an arbitrage trading strategy where you could always sell the conceivably higher volatility index (SP 100) and use the proceeds to buy the lower volatility one (SP 500)? The indexes will perform nearly identical and in offsetting directions but couldn't a large enough position capture the inherent value of the difference in volatility--specifically in an index option with very little risk? Please punch holes in my thinking (Preferably a Finance or Stats Phd). This one is not for the meek. I stated the indexes will move in similar but offsetting directions-- I meant the returns of each position since we're selling one side and buying the other. btw, how old are you? just curious, but anyway There are and been in the past a lot of very smart people in the world. As old as these indexes are, it's likely someone would have already created such an investing strategy if it was doable. |
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